DFS

Who’s Hot and Who’s Not

Analyzing player form and making smarter wagers.

Published

4 months ago

December 11, 2024

Golf is unpredictable—that’s what makes it exciting. But when it comes to betting on the game, we’re not just here to enjoy the chaos; we’re here to make smart, calculated wagers. One of the best ways to do that? Focus on player form. Who’s trending upward, and who’s struggling to find their game? Let’s take a closer look at how you can spot the “hot hands” and avoid wasting bets on players in a slump.

How to Spot Players on Fire

Sometimes, a golfer is so dialed in, you can almost feel their momentum through the screen. Here’s what to look for if you’re trying to back a hot player:

Top Finishes in Recent Events:
If a golfer has been consistently landing in the top 10 or even the top 20, that’s a strong indicator they’re in good form. Think about Viktor Hovland’s summer in 2023—week after week, he delivered, no matter the course or conditions.
Clutch Under Pressure:
A golfer who shines when the stakes are high is always worth a look. The final round on Sunday can be a pressure cooker, and some players thrive in that environment. Look for those who close out tournaments strong.
Key Stats Trending Up:
Numbers don’t lie. Strokes gained (SG) stats, like Tee-to-Green or Putting, can tell you a lot about a golfer’s current confidence and execution. If a player’s putting has been lights out recently, they’re likely feeling it.

Signs Someone’s Out of Sync

On the flip side, a player in poor form might not be easy to spot at first glance. The golf world loves a big name, but don’t let nostalgia fool you into betting on someone who’s struggling. Here’s how to spot the warning signs:

Missed Cuts Piling Up:
Missing one cut? It happens. Missing several in a row? That’s a red flag. It suggests inconsistency, lack of confidence, or struggles with key aspects of their game.
Declining Metrics:
Check the stats. If a golfer’s driving accuracy, GIR (greens in regulation), or putting numbers have taken a dive recently, there’s a good chance they’ll continue to underperform.
Course History Isn’t There:
Certain courses just don’t suit some players. Even if someone is playing well, a track that doesn’t match their style can trip them up. If they’ve struggled at a venue in the past, tread carefully.

A Betting Mindset for Player Form

Golf betting isn’t about throwing darts—it’s about making educated guesses with a little room for risk. Here are some ways to approach your picks when analyzing form:

Recent Performance Matters Most:
The past month or so gives the clearest picture of how a player is feeling and performing. A hot streak over the last four to six weeks carries more weight than long-term stats.
Course Fit Is Key:
If the course rewards big hitters and you’ve got a player who struggles off the tee, you might want to look elsewhere. Match the player’s strengths to the course’s demands.
Watch for Mid-Tournament Shifts:
Live betting can be a goldmine in golf. If a player is trending up during the first couple of rounds, there’s still time to jump on board before the odds catch up.

Who’s Hot Right Now

Ludvig Åberg:
The Swedish phenom has been unstoppable since turning pro, combining consistency with raw talent. He’s a solid bet for upcoming events.
Rory McIlroy:
Rory’s been showing why he’s one of the best, with his incredible driving accuracy and clutch putting keeping him near the top of every leaderboard.
Collin Morikawa:
After a rough patch, his iron play has returned to form, and he’s back in contention more often than not.

Who’s Not

Justin Thomas:
It’s tough to watch JT struggle, but the missed cuts and off-the-mark performances are piling up. Maybe next season?
Bryson DeChambeau:
While he’s shown flashes of brilliance, inconsistency has been his Achilles’ heel. Betting on him feels risky right now.
Rickie Fowler:
After a strong start to the year, Fowler’s form has cooled significantly. Proceed with caution if you’re backing him.

Betting on golf isn’t just about luck—it’s about understanding the trends, digging into the stats, and trusting what the data (and your gut) tell you. Identifying who’s hot and who’s not can make the difference between a winning bet and a lost wager. Stay sharp, trust your research, and remember: even the best players can surprise you. That’s the beauty of the game.

Related Topics:betting DFS featured sports betting

Up Next

How Weather Shapes the Game of Golf

Don't Miss

The Golfer’s Gift Guide

Kelly Hodgeson

Kelly Hodgeson is renowned for their exceptional role as a VIP host at the prominent sportsbook and casino, Spreads.ca, in Canada. Known for a personable approach that made every bettor feel valued, Kelly successfully created memorable experiences for both VIP and casual visitors alike. After Spreads.ca closed, Kelly joined ClickitGolf.com, bringing along extensive expertise as a sports betting aficionado and continuing to prioritize customer satisfaction in their new role.

Blog

Unique Football & Golf Parlays For The Weekend!

Have fun with Super Bowl and WM Phoenix Open combo bets!

Published

2 months ago

February 8, 2025

Kelly Hodgeson

As the excitement builds for Super Bowl LIX between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles on February 9, 2025, in New Orleans, and the WM Phoenix Open taking place from February 6-9 at TPC Scottsdale, sports enthusiasts have a unique opportunity to combine their passion for football and golf through parlay betting.

Super Bowl LIX Betting Lines

As of February 7, 2025, the betting lines for Super Bowl LIX are as follows:

Point Spread: The Kansas City Chiefs are favored by 1.5 points over the Philadelphia Eagles.
Over/Under Total Points: The total points scored by both teams is set at 49.5.
Coin Toss: Heads (-105) or Tails (-105)
First Touchdown Scorer: Travis Kelce (+600), A.J. Brown (+800), Patrick Mahomes (+2000)

WM Phoenix Open Betting Odds

The WM Phoenix Open features a competitive field with the following notable odds:

Scottie Scheffler: 3-1
Sam Burns: 22-1
Nick Taylor: 55-1
Sungjae Im: 22-1
Jake Knapp: 125-1
Hole-in-One Prop Bet: Yes (+120), No (-150)

Fun Parlay Betting Combinations

Here are some intriguing parlay combinations that blend outcomes from both the Super Bowl and the WM Phoenix Open, along with their potential payouts on a $100 bet:

Favorites Parlay:
- Super Bowl: Kansas City Chiefs to cover the 1.5-point spread (-110).
- Golf: Scottie Scheffler to finish in the top 5 (-150).
- Coin Toss: Heads (-105).
- Parlay Odds: +450
- Payout: $100 bet wins $450.
Underdog Upset Parlay:
- Super Bowl: Philadelphia Eagles to win outright (+120).
- Golf: Nick Taylor to finish in the top 10 (+500).
- Hole-in-One: Yes (+120).
- Parlay Odds: +1300
- Payout: $100 bet wins $1,300.
High-Scoring and High-Performance Parlay:
- Super Bowl: Total points over 49.5 (-110).
- Golf: Sam Burns to finish in the top 5 (+450).
- First Touchdown Scorer: A.J. Brown (+800).
- Parlay Odds: +2500
- Payout: $100 bet wins $2,500.
Longshot Parlay:
- Super Bowl: Philadelphia Eagles to win by more than 7 points (+275).
- Golf: Jake Knapp to finish in the top 10 (+1100).
- First Touchdown Scorer: Patrick Mahomes (+2000).
- Parlay Odds: +7500
- Payout: $100 bet wins $7,500.
Quick Thrill Parlay:
- Coin Toss: Tails (-105).
- First Touchdown Scorer: Travis Kelce (+600).
- Hole-in-One: Yes (+120).
- Parlay Odds: +1400
- Payout: $100 bet wins $1,400.

Combining bets from the Super Bowl and the WM Phoenix Open can add an extra layer of excitement to your sports weekend. Remember to bet responsibly and enjoy the thrill of the game!

DFS

Strategies for Success in Fantasy Golf Leagues

Dominate your fantasy golf league with these expert strategies, from analyzing course fit to taking calculated risks.

Published

4 months ago

November 23, 2024

Kelly Hodgeson

Fantasy golf is more than just picking your favorite players—it’s a game of strategy, analysis, and the occasional calculated risk. If you’re ready to step up your game and dominate your league, here are some essential strategies that will have you climbing the leaderboard in no time.

1. Know Your League’s Scoring Rules

Every fantasy golf platform has its quirks. Some leagues prioritize birdies and eagles, while others emphasize consistency with pars. Understanding how points are allocated can guide your player selection and lineup decisions.

2. Analyze Course Fit

Not all players perform equally on every course. Some thrive on tight, strategic layouts, while others dominate on long, open tracks. Research each tournament’s course to see which stats—like driving accuracy, GIR (greens in regulation), or putting—are most relevant.

3. Diversify Your Lineup

While it’s tempting to stack your team with stars, a balanced lineup often performs better. Pair reliable players with under-the-radar picks who have the potential to outperform their rankings. A few dark horse selections could make all the difference.

4. Stay Informed on Player Trends

Golf is as much a mental game as it is physical, and even top players go through slumps. Monitor recent results, injury updates, and even off-course factors that might influence performance. A little research can go a long way in avoiding risky picks.

5. Leverage Fantasy Tools

Use projections, expert insights, and ownership percentages to your advantage. Platforms like Fantasy National Golf Club or PGA Tour stats pages offer detailed analysis that can help you make smarter decisions.

6. Capitalize on Tee Times and Weather

Weather conditions can play a huge role in golf performance. Wind, rain, and even time of day can create distinct advantages or challenges. Prioritize players with favorable tee times when the weather is expected to shift during the day.

7. Don’t Be Afraid to Take Risks

To win big, sometimes you need to take chances. If you’re behind in the standings, consider high-upside players who might not be heavily owned by others in your league. Riskier picks can give you the edge needed to climb the leaderboard.

8. Focus on Momentum

Golfers often carry momentum from one tournament to the next. Look for players coming off strong finishes, even if they’re not household names. Momentum can be a powerful tool in fantasy golf.

Final Drive

Winning a fantasy golf league requires a mix of knowledge, strategy, and a bit of luck. By understanding the nuances of scoring, player fit, and conditions, you can make smarter decisions and position yourself for success. So get out there, pick wisely, and enjoy the thrill of competing in your league. Victory awaits!